After the political consultations that the President has held with parliamentary forces before proceeding to his constitutional obligation to give mandates for forming a government within the current National Assembly, expectations for a new cabinet in the current parliamentary configuration seem illusory. Not only the largest parties - GERB and BSP, but also the Movement for Rights and Freedoms, the rightist Reformist Bloc and leftist ABV party have voiced their opposition against the formation of such a government. The Patriotic Front, the Bulgarian Democratic Centre and the "Ataka" party support the idea. They do this knowing that they do not have the needed forces to form such a government because the total number of their MPs is 42. The shortage of 79 votes would have to be offset by votes from other political forces and currently no one is willing to provide such support.

The situation gives President Rosen Plevneliev the task to quickly finish with the process of offering mandates for the formation of a cabinet to political forces represented in parliament. After further discussions within the framework of the forthcoming meeting of the Council for National Security, the president will offer a mandate to the biggest parliamentary force of GERB. If GERB refused it, the head of state would offer it to the second largest force - BSP, and if it refused, the president could offer the mandate to a third party of his choice. In case of a third unsuccessful attempt, the president shall draw up a caretaker government. Basically his prerogative is dissolving parliament and scheduling new elections, but not in the last three months of his term in office, as the current situation is. Therefore, the Constitutional Court has forwarded these obligations to newly-elected president Rumen Radev, who would actually take office on 22 January 2017.

In this case, early elections will most likely take place in early spring and until then the parliament must work at full steam. The most urgent tasks include deciding what type of electoral system will be used during the early parliamentary elections and adopting the final draft budget for 2017. The situation of political instability makes these tasks very difficult. To solve the problem with the choice of electoral system, political consultations are yet to take place. In these consultations president-elect Rumen Radev would also have to take part. Economists warn that budget 2017 should be conservative, in order for its implementation to be ensured. In support of the argument that in times of political instability state budget control loosens the Institute for Market Economy has reported that the "price paid during the political crisis in 2013-2014 was much higher than that during the big economic crisis after 2008.

English: Alexander Markov