The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, EBRD, is forecasting that the economy of Bulgaria will grow by 4.2% in 2021, compensating for the 4.2% drop in 2020. This means the EBRD has cut down its June forecast for a 4.5% GDP growth by December.
In its November report Regional Economic Prospects, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development projects a GDP growth in Bulgaria of 4.4% in 2022. The projection is 0.4% higher compared to June, when the expected growth rate was 4%.
“The risks are tilted to the downside, including the low vaccination rate and ongoing political crisis," the EBRD notes.
Preliminary data from the National Statistical Institute (NSI) shows a 1.3% increase in employment from March to June 2025, reaching 2.38 million. The hotel and restaurant sector had the largest increase in employment (24.8%), followed by real estate..
The lack of sufficient manpower and strong private consumption are the main reasons for inflation, according to the second "Economic Review" of the Bulgarian National Bank (BNB) for the year. Annual inflation is 2.9%, increasing by 2.1% by May 2025..
After months of low inflation and even temporary deflation in April this year, according to official national statistics, the trend abruptly reversed. On July 15, literally days after Bulgaria received a green light from Brussels for..
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