Podcast in English
Text size
Bulgarian National Radio © 2025 All Rights Reserved

Geopolitical uncertainty and reduced international demand are shrinking GDP

Photo: Archive

The real growth of the gross domestic product (GDP) in Bulgaria for 2023 will be 1.8% compared to 3.9% in 2022. The growth is mainly determined by an increase in private consumption and positive net exports. The change in inventories has a significant negative impact on economic activity. These are the expectations of the analysts from the Bulgarian National Bank (BNB), recorded in the latest quarterly publication "Macroeconomic Forecast".

Compared to the November forecast, the BNB expects a lower GDP growth in 2024 and 2025. At the time, the BNB expected Bulgaria's economic growth to be 1.9% in 2023, 2.7% in 2024, and 2025 – 3.6%. 

Due to geopolitical uncertainty and an expected contraction in demand for Bulgarian goods and services, the January forecast is for GDP to grow to 2.5% in 2023 and to 3.4% in 2025.



Последвайте ни и в Google News Showcase, за да научите най-важното от деня!
Listen to the daily news from Bulgaria presented in "Bulgaria Today" podcast, available in Spotify.

More from category

Tomislav Donchev and Mila Nenova, Executive Director of Invest Bulgaria Agency, at the presentation of the map.

Ministry of Innovation and Growth presents Bulgaria’s first interactive investment map

The Ministry of Innovation and Growth has presented the country’s first interactive investment map . The platform aims to provide Bulgarian and foreign investors with useful and up-to-date information in one place, making it easier for them to make..

published on 10/17/25 10:37 AM

Bulgargaz proposes 8% increase in natural gas price for November

The Bulgarian state-owed natural gas supplier Bulgargaz has proposed that the price of natural gas for November increases by around 8% to nearly 66 BGN per megawatt-hour, excluding fees and taxes, reported BNR's journalist Yuliana Kornazheva. The..

published on 10/16/25 5:18 PM

BNB calls on the state to pursue conservative financial policy

The growth of the national economy in the second quarter of 2025 accelerated by 3.5% on an annual basis. According to an analysis by the Bulgarian National Bank - BNB, the main factors for the acceleration are the decrease in imports..

published on 10/16/25 11:28 AM