The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) forecasts an acceleration in Bulgaria's economic growth from 1.8% in 2023 to 2.5% in 2024 and to 2.9% in 2025 as public investment increases along with EU funds. OECD expects inflation in Bulgaria to slow from 9.5% in 2023 to 3.0% in 2024, primarily due to falling global food and energy prices.
However, high wage growth is an obstacle to a faster reduction in inflation, the OECD notes. The ongoing political uncertainty puts the country's planned reforms and investments at risk, OECD further said. Difficulties and delays in implementing the reforms necessary to access EU funds risk reducing the amount of EU funding and additional investment, warns OECD.
The growth of the national economy in the second quarter of 2025 accelerated by 3.5% on an annual basis. According to an analysis by the Bulgarian National Bank - BNB, the main factors for the acceleration are the decrease in imports..
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